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Gary Collins

BSc (Hons), PhD

Professor of Medical Statistics and Deputy Director of CSM


Gary's research interests are primarily focused on methodological aspects surrounding the development and validation multivariable prediction (prognostic) models (design and analysis) and he has published extensively in this area. He is particularly focussed on the role of big data has in evaluating prediction models. He is also interested in the systematic review and appraisal of prognostic studies and co-authored the development of CHARMS Checklist for conducting systematic reviews of prediction modelling studies.

Along with Doug Altman, Karel Moons and Hans Reitsma, UMC Utrecht, the Netherlands, he led an international collaboration to produce the TRIPOD consensus guidance on issues to report when developing or validating (prognostic and diagnostic) prediction models. Gary is also a member of the GATHER working group, which developed guidance for reporting global health estimates, recently published in the Lancet and PLoS Medicine. He is also a co-Chair and steering group member and topic chair of the international STRATOS Initiative, which aims to provide accessible and accurate guidance in the design and analysis of observational studies.

Gary has more than 150 peer-reviewed articles, editorials and commentaries, including over 20 research articles in the ‘Big 6’ general medical journals, and is the first or senior author of more than 70 articles. He is principal investigator and co-applicant on a number of methodological and clinical research grants (£7 million).  

He is also a Statistical Editor (‘hanging committee’) for the British Medical Journal (since 2010), an Associate Editor for Research Integrity and Peer Review and BMC Medical Research Methodology, an Academic Editor for both PeerJ and PLoS One and on the Editorial Board of the Journal of Clinical Oncology. In 2016 Gary co-founded and is Editor-in-Chief of the journal Diagnostic & Prognostic Research. Gary is also a board member of the NIHR HTA Commissioning Board.


Gary teaches the personalised / stratified medicine course on the Masters of Science in Public Health: Comparative Effectiveness Research at the University Paris Descartes, France.  He also teaches on the

Gary also supervises DPhil/PhD/MD students (3 completed) and manages a team of statisticians working on applied statistical methodology (primarily clinical prediction and prognosis). Gary is also a member of the NDORMS Graduate Studies Committee.