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As the Danish physicist Niels Bohr once warned, it is difficult to make predictions, especially about the future. This warning is particularly true when it comes to the epidemiology of COVID-19. In the past week, we have learned that cases in the UK have exceeded even the worst-case scenario predicted a few months ago by Sage, the government’s expert advisory group.

The UK and many other countries in Europe are in lockdown again, but what should be done next?

Read the full article on The Conversation website, written by Dr Laurence Roope and Professor Philip Clarke (Nuffield Department of Population Health)

Oxford is a subscribing member of The ConversationFind out how you can write for The Conversation.

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